Let's make a deal...

[Bikerscum]

You're on the game show Let's Make a Deal. You make it to the final round where you're presented with 3 doors. Behind one of the doors is a car, behind the other 2 is a goat.

You pick a door, & Monty Hall opens one of the other 2, revealing a goat. He then gives you the option to keep your door, or trade for the other remaining one.

Should you keep your door, trade your door, or it makes no difference?

:shrug:

Edit...

This is not a trick question... a door is behind a door, etc. It's just as straightforward as it seems.

 

[murrayeliminator]

Never second guess yourself. keep the door. :thumbsup:

 

[Neck]

Monty told you two doors had Goats behind them?

 

[Bikerscum]

Monty told you two doors had Goats behind them?

Yes, or no, like I said, it's not a trick question. 2 of the doors have a goat, one has a car. No hidden agenda here.

Don't look for an angle, there isn't one.

 

[Newoldstock]

Take the door its not like you loose anything you already didn't own.

 

[TomH]

well, It would depend on the goat

 

[Strigoi]

I'd guess again. Either way I'm leaving with a car or a goat so it's a win win.

 

[mlanzoni]

keep original door. Monty is trying to get the car for himself.

 

[Rupp 72]

I know:clap:, Iknow:clap: At first you have a 1 in 3 chance of getting the car. 33.3%. one door is eliminated with a goat in it, you would think you now have a 50 50 chance but if you switch you actually have a 67% chance. Switch Switch Switch:hammer:

 

[TomH]

I like your math Rupp. wish that would work at the casino

 

[Rupp 72]

alright! Show me the car!:laugh:

 

[Bikerscum]

I know:clap:, Iknow:clap: At first you have a 1 in 3 chance of getting the car. 33.3%. one door is eliminated with a goat in it, you would think you now have a 50 50 chance but if you switch you actually have a 67% chance. Switch Switch Switch:hammer:

This is correct :drinkup:

Much as it may seem to go against common sense, you should always switch. The laws of probability were set when the problem was presented, & do not change as it unfolds.

 

[Rupp 72]

do i need to come pick up the car or can you ship it to me? :shrug:

 

[joekd]

I wouldn't make any deal with Monty at all anymore since Wayner Brady is the host of the show now :laugh:

 

[pomfish]

I thought maybe the car was a GTO

 

[TomH]

ok

Marge, show the Rupp what he has won.
First..How about a DARLING PET MONKEY!! That's right from OldMiniBikes warehouse, best prices world wide. This darling monkey will spice up your nights when you go to...

HAWAII!! that's right a two day three night excursion to the exotic island noted for sunny days and exotic nights.

While in Hawaii, you will be entertained by the world famous EVIL ED MARIACHI BAND

Thank you for playing "Lets Make a Deal"

 

[KustomKartKid]

what happened to Carol Merrill...?

 

[TomH]

budget cuts KK

 

[KustomKartKid]

that Hent is a cheap bastard...........

 

[TomH]

Well..he doesn't exactly hold ALL the purse strings .